Ok I admit it – I was pretty busy at work and haven’t been able to follow the news. And yeah our family budget’s too tight for us to afford cable so I haven’t been getting a steady diet of BS from MSNBO. And I did have a meeting to go to after work so I’m just now getting on line really, but I’ve got a question for you guys and I’m hoping you can help me out…
Have things changed THAT much over the past 24 hours? Were there some primaries yesterday or today that I didn’t know about and did Hillary lose that badly? Because the way Pat Leahy’s talking today you’d think Hillary were suddenly a good 20 or 25% behind Obama in the delegate race here, instead of a shade shy of 1%.
No?
No primaries?
Ya mean they’re still just one percent apart in this delegate thing?
Then can someone puhlease explain why the hell Pat Leahy’s gone ‘round the bend with his demand that Hillary drop out of this race for the White House before the voters have even had a say in the final ten contests? Or before some 350 super delegates have weighed in on this whole thing?
Seriously – is he that scared of Hillary in these final contests? Has he seen some super-top-secret polls that I haven’t showing she’s gonna open up a big ole can of whoop-ass on his guy come Pennsylvania? I mean bigger than we know is coming already?
I mean aside from winning the states she’s running strong in – PA, KY, WV & PR – does he know she’s also going to take NC & IN – OR even? Then there’re MT and SD.
My goodness but Leahy must be really frightened if he’s getting this shrill four weeks out of our next primary. Does he have that little faith in his own candidate? Is he that convinced that Hillary’s going to kick some serious butt in the coming contests?
(Hmmm… come to think of it this could explain why Obama’s been so entrenched in his opposition to holding new primaries in MI and FL. The guy’s convinced he’s going to lose and lose big in those states if the voters actually get to have their say. But I digress…).
Now that I think of it maybe I’m not the one who’s been busy with work lately. I mean after all, I did get enough of the news to know that the information below is accurate. Maybe ole Pat missed out on a few factoids eh?
MYTH: The delegate "math" works decisively against Hillary.
FACT: The delegate math reflects an extremely close race that either candidate can win.
"The Math" is actually very simple: with hundreds of delegates still uncommitted, NEITHER candidate has reached the number of delegates required to secure the nomination. And EITHER candidate can reach the required number in the coming weeks and months. That is indisputable. No amount of editorials, articles, blog posts, charts, graphs, calculations, formulas, or projections will change the basic fact that either candidate can win. Pundits who confidently proclaim that Hillary has no hope of winning because of "the math," have counted Hillary out of this race three times before. Each time they based their sober assessments on 'facts' and 'realities' -- and each time they were wrong.
In a campaign with dozens of unexpected twists and turns, bold prognostications should be viewed with a healthy dose of skepticism. Look no further than Sen. Obama's "full assault" on Hillary's character to judge whether he thinks this election is over. The fact is this: Hillary and Sen. Obama are locked in a very close, hard-fought campaign and Hillary is demonstrating precisely the strength of character required of a president. Her resilience in the face of adversity, her faith in the voters, her capacity to rise to every challenge, are part of the reason she is the best general election candidate for Democrats. And it is why she is increasingly strong against John McCain in the polls at the same time that Sen. Obama is dropping against Sen. McCain.
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MYTH: For Hillary to win, super delegates must "overturn the will of the people."
FACT: The race is virtually tied, the "will of the people" is split, and both candidates need super delegates to win.
The Obama campaign and Sen. Obama's surrogates have engaged in a sustained public relations effort to convince people that the election is over and that if super delegates perform their established role of choosing a candidate who they believe will make the best nominee and president, they are somehow "overturning the will of the people." They have the audacity to make this argument while quietly and systematically courting those very same super delegates. They are courting them because they know that Sen. Obama needs super delegates to win. The Obama spin is being parroted daily by pundits, but it is patently false. The race is virtually tied; the "will of the people" is split. By virtually every measure, Hillary and Sen. Obama are neck and neck -- separated by less than 130 of the more than 3,100 delegates committed thus far and less than 1% of the 27 million+ votes cast, including Florida and Michigan. Less than 1%.
An incremental advantage for one candidate or the other is hardly a reason for super delegates to change the rules mid-game. Despite the Obama campaign's aggressive spin and pressure, the RULES require super delegates to exercise their best independent judgment, and that is what they will do. Even Sen. Obama's top strategist agrees they should. If not, then why don't prominent Obama endorsers like Senators Kerry (MA) and Kennedy (MA), and Governors Patrick (MA), Napolitano (AZ) and Richardson (NM) follow the will of their constituents and switch their support to Hillary? After all, she won their states. And if this is truly about the "will of the people," then Sen. Obama's short-sighted tactic to run out the clock on a revote in Florida and Michigan accomplishes exactly two things: it disenfranchises Florida and Michigan's voters; and it hurts Democrats in a general election. Apparently, for the Obama campaign, the "will of the people" is just words.
This race isn’t over – far from it. And the fact that BO’s followers are shrieking like this to try to drum up some sad and pathetic call for Hillary to step aside and let the guy win this thing is one of the most ridiculous things I’ve ever witnessed. And I’ve been around a lot of campaigns over the years.
So here’s a suggestion a friend said came up on the News Hour this evening…
Rather than shriek about one candidate or the other dropping out – rather than go at each other in this circular firing squat maybe – just maybe the candidates should turn their sights on John McCain. Show us what they’ve got and would take to the fight with him in the general election.
Once the Supers have evaluated how each does they can make up their own mind as to who’ll be best prepared to withstand what the goopers will throw at us in the general election. They’ll see how effective each of our candidates will be in addressing McCain’s short-comings on the issues that matter to voters.
Here’s a taste of what Hillary will take to the fight with McCain. Take a look…
You want a fighter who’ll kick some serious elephant butt in the general election, then the clear choice in this contest is Hillary. She’s no quitter and she knows how to stand tall against the Republicans.
If you’re like me and you’re with Hillary through to the convention, help her out guys. She’s set a goal of raising 3 million dollars before the next reporting deadline of midnight on March 31st. Last time around she was able to raise more than the million a day she’d set as a goal. Whattya say we shoot for 2 million a day?!
Here’s a bit of an email she sent around today – take a look…
Have you noticed the pattern?
Every time our campaign demonstrates its strength and resilience, people start to suggest we should end our pursuit of the Democratic nomination.
Those anxious to force us to the sidelines aren't doing it because they think we're going to lose the upcoming primaries. The fact is, they're reading the same polls we are, and they know we are in a position to win.
In three days, we're facing a critical March filing deadline -- another chance to show the strength of our campaign. Let's take these three days to make something absolutely clear: we aren't going to simply step aside. You and I are going to keep fighting for what we believe in, and together, we're going to win.
She goes on to ask us to kick in whatever we can – even $5 will make a difference in meeting the goal in the face of this upcoming deadline. So please – dig deep and let Leahy, Dodd and all of those other frightened senators know we’re not even close to giving up this fight!
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